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Red75
432217.5
876821.1
59916.2
Blue43
606017.3
630514.4
151523.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46660204060801001207543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#26
21.11.8
17.919.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 2.7
1515
#18
23.70.9
24.623.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Second
4322
#23
17.51.8
12.314.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End0.4
red by 0.2
6060
#27
17.30.9
16.715.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Third
599
#32
16.21.8
13.415.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5
red by 1.8
6305
#36
14.40.9
15.714.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed