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Red85
607218.8
29435.7
39927.3
Blue60
412318.6
265823.5
96669.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894601001508560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
35.70.6
32.232.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
red by 12.2
2658
#20
23.50.9
21.922.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
399
#12
27.30.6
26.226.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 8.6
4123
#15
18.60.9
16.717.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
Third
6072
#13
18.80.6
17.017.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 9.5
9666
#29
9.31.2
8.19.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed