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Red57
545828.0
432217.5
24047.9
Blue34
151523.7
6919.2
647914.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5353405060705734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.4
27.127.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 4.2
1515
#18
23.70.9
24.123.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Second
4322
#23
17.50.4
14.114.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End0.4
red by 3.4
6479
#25
14.10.9
12.912.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
2404
#34
7.90.5
7.37.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.1
blue by 1.3
691
#24
9.20.9
10.19.2
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed