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Red89
153831.1
59916.2
114833.4
Blue75
412318.6
876821.1
607218.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865701001508975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
30.631.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
red by 12.4
8768
#26
21.10.4
20.020.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Second
31.10.3
28.428.7
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
red by 12.4
6072
#13
18.80.4
17.718.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
599
#32
16.20.3
15.515.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 2.5
4123
#15
18.60.4
17.517.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6