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Red86
207328.8
254318.2
242925.8
Blue92
441921.9
513721.0
258426.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7778607080901008692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#10
28.80.3
28.328.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 2.8
26.00.3
26.026.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Second
25.80.3
25.325.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
red by 3.9
21.90.3
21.922.2
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Third
2543
#22
18.20.3
17.718.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 2.7
5137
#14
21.00.3
20.921.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3