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Red70
665724.5
6919.2
39927.3
Blue63
412318.6
876821.1
607218.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68640501001502007063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#12
27.30.2
27.327.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 6.2
8768
#26
21.10.1
20.921.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Second
24.50.2
24.624.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 5.8
6072
#13
18.80.1
18.618.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
691
#24
9.20.2
9.29.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 9.4
4123
#15
18.60.1
18.518.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6