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Red55
258426.0
441921.9
513721.0
Blue90
29435.7
265930.2
432217.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779040601001201401605590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.4
26.826.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End3.6
blue by 9.7
294
#2
35.70.0
34.534.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
Second
21.90.4
22.722.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 8.2
30.20.0
28.928.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End3.8
Third
5137
#14
21.00.4
21.721.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 3.5
4322
#23
17.50.0
16.216.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End0.4