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Red51
665724.5
6919.2
39927.3
Blue85
114833.4
59916.2
153831.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65872040801001201405185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#12
27.30.2
27.527.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
blue by 6.2
33.40.2
31.131.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
Second
24.50.2
24.824.5
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 6.6
31.10.2
28.929.1
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
Third
691
#24
9.20.2
9.49.2
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 7.0
599
#32
16.20.2
16.016.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5