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Qual 112024 Battle at the Border
Red60
999810.9
473836.6
265818.7
Blue57
95737.0
441919.2
153833.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8160020401001201401606057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#3
36.60.5
37.3→36.8
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 2.9
1538
#6
33.80.0
32.3→32.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Second
2658
#28
18.70.5
19.6→19.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
blue by 0.5
4419
#11
19.20.0
17.6→17.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Third
9998
#33
10.90.8
6.4→5.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
red by 3.9
9573
#30
7.00.0
6.8→6.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed