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Red74
998818.2
298413.6
999924.3
Blue21
416015.1
80062.5
811916.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214804060801001201407421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.34.8
9.214.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
red by 7.5
8119
#17
16.91.3
18.116.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
Second
9988
#27
18.24.8
8.613.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
red by 3.1
4160
#16
15.11.3
18.417.1
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Third
2984
#19
13.63.6
10.614.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.4
red by 11.1
8006
#31
2.51.3
3.62.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed