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Red40
162216.6
889113.2
248531.8
Blue33
998710.8
55149.4
945225.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703602060801001201401604033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.4
32.931.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
red by 5.9
9452
#15
25.90.3
22.422.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End0.4
Second
16.61.4
14.613.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End2.0
red by 5.8
9987
#14
10.80.5
7.36.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Third
13.21.4
11.810.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 3.8
5514
#13
9.40.3
7.67.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed