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Red43
513726.5
271018.7
374912.9
Blue41
157215.8
99855.1
325527.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001201404341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.7
20.820.2
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
blue by 1.4
27.90.5
22.822.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Second
2710
#12
18.70.7
18.317.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 2.9
1572
#24
15.80.5
18.918.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Third
3749
#21
12.90.7
14.013.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End1.2
red by 7.8
9985
#34
5.10.9
7.56.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed