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Red25
95737.0
998818.2
271018.7
Blue40
889113.2
370411.9
55149.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34321020405060702540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#12
18.71.0
17.716.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 5.5
13.20.5
10.410.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Second
9988
#27
18.21.7
13.411.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
red by 6.3
3704
#29
11.90.6
12.112.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End0.4
Third
9573
#30
7.01.0
6.85.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End0.3
blue by 2.4
5514
#13
9.40.5
7.37.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed