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Red57
325527.9
153833.8
416015.1
Blue30
999924.3
547414.4
80062.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions882304060801001201401605730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.1
32.331.2
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 9.4
24.30.0
14.014.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
Second
27.91.1
22.321.2
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
red by 13.5
5474
#23
14.40.0
13.513.5
Auto7.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Third
4160
#16
15.11.1
17.116.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
red by 12.7
8006
#31
2.50.0
2.32.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed