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Red47
254315.1
688517.9
157215.8
Blue48
265818.7
998710.8
513726.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449203040607080904748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6885
#26
17.90.4
12.311.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 8.7
26.50.4
20.219.7
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
Second
1572
#24
15.80.4
18.317.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
blue by 2.9
2658
#28
18.70.4
19.118.7
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Third
2543
#25
15.10.4
16.115.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 4.3
9987
#14
10.80.7
6.86.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned