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Red43
999810.9
547414.4
364723.8
Blue91
325527.9
271018.7
889113.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455601001502002504391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#18
23.80.5
15.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
blue by 4.1
27.92.8
21.224.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Second
5474
#23
14.40.5
13.514.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 4.2
2710
#12
18.72.8
16.719.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Third
9998
#33
10.90.9
5.86.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
blue by 2.3
13.22.8
10.913.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed