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Red77
688517.9
80062.5
519938.9
Blue32
811916.9
95737.0
265818.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504402060801007732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.1
29.231.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
red by 20.1
2658
#28
18.70.9
18.717.8
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Second
6885
#26
17.92.1
11.813.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 1.0
8119
#17
16.90.9
15.514.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
Third
8006
#31
2.52.1
2.34.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
blue by 4.5
9573
#30
7.00.9
5.84.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed