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Red82
945225.9
513726.5
441919.2
Blue62
248531.8
416015.1
298413.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65680501001508262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.5
19.721.2
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
blue by 5.2
31.80.6
30.029.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
Second
9452
#15
25.91.5
22.223.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End0.4
red by 10.7
4160
#16
15.10.6
16.015.4
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Third
4419
#11
19.21.5
17.819.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End1.4
red by 5.6
2984
#19
13.60.6
14.614.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned