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Red49
162216.6
998710.8
999924.3
Blue44
99855.1
312820.9
473836.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30710204060801001201401604944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.6
14.014.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
blue by 12.3
36.62.1
35.333.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
16.60.3
13.614.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End2.0
blue by 4.3
3128
#22
20.92.1
25.123.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
9987
#14
10.80.6
6.16.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 5.7
9985
#34
5.13.6
5.72.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed