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Red24
998818.2
157215.8
889113.2
Blue73
99906.8
656023.3
153833.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37690501001502002473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9988
#27
18.22.2
11.89.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
blue by 15.6
33.80.5
31.931.4
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Second
1572
#24
15.81.3
17.916.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
blue by 7.5
6560
#10
23.30.5
25.324.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Third
13.21.3
13.712.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 6.4
9990
#20
6.80.8
7.87.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned