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Red40
80062.5
998710.8
271018.7
Blue34
999810.9
416015.1
99894.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333801001502002504034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#12
18.70.4
19.519.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 3.5
4160
#16
15.10.3
15.415.8
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Second
9987
#14
10.80.6
6.76.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 0.1
9998
#33
10.90.6
6.77.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
Third
8006
#31
2.50.4
4.44.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
blue by 2.4
9989
#32
4.90.6
4.85.3
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed