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Red119
364723.8
473836.6
325527.9
Blue49
811916.9
998818.2
688517.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions902905010015020011949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.4
32.935.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 18.5
9988
#27
18.21.3
10.011.2
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Second
27.92.4
24.326.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
red by 10.0
6885
#26
17.90.8
13.113.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Third
3647
#18
23.82.4
16.318.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
red by 7.0
8119
#17
16.90.8
14.615.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed