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Red22
99855.1
416015.1
99906.8
Blue40
99894.9
162216.6
95737.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13330204060801001202240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#16
15.10.8
15.815.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 1.5
16.60.4
15.415.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Second
9990
#20
6.81.3
6.65.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.0
End0.8
blue by 0.2
9573
#30
7.00.4
5.24.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Third
9985
#34
5.11.3
1.1-0.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
red by 0.2
9989
#32
4.90.7
5.34.7
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed