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Red72
153833.8
688517.9
312820.9
Blue97
271018.7
248531.8
519938.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69900501001502007297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.6
29.830.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
blue by 5.1
38.90.6
32.833.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
Second
3128
#22
20.90.6
20.020.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 10.9
31.80.6
28.529.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
Third
6885
#26
17.90.6
13.814.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 0.8
2710
#12
18.70.6
17.418.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned