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Red40
55149.4
441919.2
99894.9
Blue84
656023.3
811916.9
157215.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33660501001504084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#11
19.20.2
19.419.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End1.4
blue by 4.0
6560
#10
23.30.7
23.424.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
5514
#13
9.40.2
7.57.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 7.5
8119
#17
16.90.7
15.416.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
Third
9989
#32
4.90.4
4.75.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End-0.0
blue by 10.9
1572
#24
15.80.7
15.416.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed