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Red30
80062.5
999810.9
370411.9
Blue59
99906.8
162216.6
513726.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284602060801001201403059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3704
#29
11.90.2
11.611.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End0.4
blue by 14.7
26.51.0
23.324.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
Second
9998
#33
10.90.4
8.88.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
blue by 5.7
16.61.0
15.016.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Third
8006
#31
2.50.2
3.12.9
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
blue by 4.3
9990
#20
6.81.7
5.37.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed