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Red68
473836.6
547414.4
416015.1
Blue57
265818.7
364723.8
889113.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755101001502006857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.4
35.334.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 12.8
3647
#18
23.80.6
19.620.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
Second
4160
#16
15.10.4
15.014.6
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 3.6
2658
#28
18.70.6
16.417.0
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Third
5474
#23
14.40.4
13.713.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
red by 1.3
13.20.6
12.513.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed