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Red54
254315.1
325527.9
999810.9
Blue75
99855.1
298413.6
519938.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6146020801001201405475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.7
26.626.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
blue by 11.0
38.91.6
33.334.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
Second
2543
#25
15.10.7
13.913.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 1.5
2984
#19
13.61.6
12.714.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Third
9998
#33
10.91.0
8.47.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
red by 5.8
9985
#34
5.12.7
-0.22.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed