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Red88
416015.1
157215.8
999924.3
Blue58
364723.8
519938.9
370411.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446401001502008858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.32.6
6.69.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
blue by 14.5
38.90.2
27.928.1
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
Second
1572
#24
15.81.5
17.318.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
blue by 8.0
3647
#18
23.80.2
15.715.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
Third
4160
#16
15.11.5
16.818.4
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
red by 3.2
3704
#29
11.90.2
12.112.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned