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Red70
811916.9
153833.8
254315.1
Blue41
162216.6
945225.9
271018.7
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736401001502002503007041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.2
32.132.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 7.9
9452
#15
25.91.2
23.622.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End0.4
Second
8119
#17
16.90.2
17.918.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
blue by 1.8
2710
#12
18.71.2
19.518.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Third
2543
#25
15.10.2
14.815.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End2.0
blue by 1.5
16.61.2
15.814.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed