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Red91
325527.9
248531.8
99906.8
Blue61
999924.3
271018.7
99855.1
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69320204060801001201401609161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.4
29.028.6
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
red by 7.4
24.31.4
17.618.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
Second
27.90.4
26.025.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
red by 9.2
2710
#12
18.70.9
17.518.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Third
9990
#20
6.80.6
7.46.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.0
End0.8
red by 1.7
9985
#34
5.11.3
3.85.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed