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Red85
519938.9
55149.4
416015.1
Blue69
298413.6
374912.9
473836.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627201001502002503008569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.2
34.936.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
red by 2.2
36.60.1
35.335.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
4160
#16
15.11.2
13.915.1
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
red by 1.5
2984
#19
13.60.1
13.513.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Third
5514
#13
9.41.2
8.09.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 3.6
3749
#21
12.90.1
13.914.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed