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Red80
254315.1
265818.7
325527.9
Blue106
153833.8
999810.9
473836.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649305015080106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
27.527.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
blue by 8.7
36.60.4
35.736.1
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
2658
#28
18.70.4
18.318.7
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
blue by 15.1
33.80.4
32.833.2
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Third
2543
#25
15.10.4
14.715.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 4.3
9998
#33
10.90.5
9.610.1
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2