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Red83
998818.2
248531.8
999924.3
Blue53
656023.3
157215.8
811916.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626140455055657075808353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
28.628.9
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
red by 8.5
6560
#10
23.30.1
23.123.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
24.30.5
20.120.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
red by 7.5
8119
#17
16.90.1
16.716.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
Third
9988
#27
18.20.5
13.914.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
red by 2.4
1572
#24
15.80.1
15.615.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8