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Red73
153833.8
999810.9
473836.6
Blue74
325527.9
265818.7
254315.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94590501507374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.2
35.435.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 8.7
27.90.3
26.126.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Second
33.80.2
32.532.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 15.1
2658
#28
18.70.3
16.917.2
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Third
9998
#33
10.90.3
9.28.9
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
blue by 4.3
2543
#25
15.10.3
13.313.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End2.0