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Red81
271018.7
312820.9
945225.9
Blue15
441919.2
889113.2
374912.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745001001508115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#15
25.90.2
25.225.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End0.4
red by 6.6
4419
#11
19.20.7
20.019.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Second
3128
#22
20.90.2
20.320.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 7.7
13.20.7
13.913.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
2710
#12
18.70.2
18.118.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 5.7
3749
#21
12.90.7
13.612.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End1.2