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Red76
811916.9
157215.8
656023.3
Blue105
153833.8
999810.9
473836.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5793015076105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#10
23.30.2
23.023.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.7
blue by 13.4
36.60.3
35.235.5
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
8119
#17
16.90.2
16.616.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
blue by 16.9
33.80.3
32.332.6
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Third
1572
#24
15.80.2
15.615.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
red by 4.9
9998
#33
10.90.4
8.99.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2