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Red101
364723.8
688517.9
519938.9
Blue47
162216.6
998710.8
513726.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8756010015010147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.5
36.937.4
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
red by 12.3
26.50.3
26.726.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
Second
3647
#18
23.80.5
21.922.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
red by 7.2
16.60.3
16.916.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Third
6885
#26
17.90.5
15.916.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 7.1
9987
#14
10.80.4
11.010.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.4