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Red107
998818.2
248531.8
999924.3
Blue79
325527.9
265818.7
254315.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6363506070809010010779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
28.929.6
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
red by 3.9
27.90.4
26.426.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Second
24.31.0
20.521.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
red by 5.6
2658
#28
18.70.4
17.217.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Third
9988
#27
18.21.0
14.415.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
red by 3.0
2543
#25
15.10.4
13.614.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End2.0