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Red53
55149.4
998710.8
513726.5
Blue86
153833.8
999810.9
473836.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449601505386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.2
26.426.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
blue by 10.1
36.60.2
35.535.7
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
9987
#14
10.80.2
10.610.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 23.0
33.80.2
32.632.8
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Third
5514
#13
9.40.2
9.29.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 1.5
9998
#33
10.90.3
9.39.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2