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Red112
84136.9
661936.7
7518.8
Blue20
598514.7
947012.6
77297.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793505010015011220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#12
36.92.1
31.333.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End2.4
red by 22.1
5985
#27
14.71.3
12.210.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Second
6619
#10
36.72.1
27.329.4
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.6
red by 24.1
9470
#43
12.61.2
16.415.2
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Third
751
#31
8.82.1
7.39.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 1.8
7729
#58
7.01.8
8.06.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed