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Red40
76616.3
784011.6
497311.3
Blue67
920210.2
661936.7
527420.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28690204060801001204067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#46
16.30.7
12.212.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 20.4
6619
#10
36.70.5
31.031.5
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.6
Second
7840
#55
11.60.7
9.410.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 9.0
5274
#20
20.60.5
18.619.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Third
4973
#49
11.30.7
8.69.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
red by 1.1
9202
#59
10.20.8
8.39.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed