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Red59
220410.6
228828.1
466914.8
Blue61
598514.7
885222.0
681411.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513901001505961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#11
28.11.0
26.327.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 6.0
8852
#16
22.01.3
16.617.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Second
4669
#35
14.81.0
9.810.8
Auto8.4
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Level
5985
#27
14.71.3
13.114.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Third
2204
#45
10.61.0
8.39.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 1.2
6814
#42
11.91.3
7.28.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed