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Red88
74015.8
64925.4
228828.1
Blue18
623812.0
76616.3
766717.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52522030406070808818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#11
28.11.0
23.925.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 10.8
7667
#28
17.21.5
16.515.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Second
649
#13
25.41.0
20.621.6
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
red by 9.1
766
#46
16.31.5
11.39.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Third
7401
#52
5.81.7
8.410.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 6.2
6238
#56
12.01.7
13.211.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed