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Red89
954515.0
167858.4
724512.5
Blue72
116018.2
594056.4
91117.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7677607080901008972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.5
50.851.3
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
red by 2.0
56.40.2
45.445.6
Auto17.1
Teleop32.1
End7.3
Second
9545
#26
15.00.7
11.111.8
Auto7.8
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 3.2
1160
#48
18.20.2
16.416.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Third
7245
#18
12.50.6
9.610.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 4.7
9111
#40
7.80.2
5.25.5
Auto1.2
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed