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Red61
220410.6
541936.5
96348.0
Blue60
527420.6
304526.3
116018.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5470204060801001206160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.7
34.935.6
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End5.9
red by 10.2
3045
#15
26.30.3
24.624.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End1.7
Second
2204
#45
10.60.7
9.310.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 10.0
5274
#20
20.60.3
19.018.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Third
9634
#53
8.00.7
6.77.4
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 10.2
1160
#48
18.20.3
18.217.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed