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Red56
724512.5
598514.7
713714.0
Blue41
784011.6
741918.3
920210.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414225303545505560655641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#27
14.71.0
14.415.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 3.5
7419
#37
18.30.2
18.819.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Second
7137
#36
14.01.0
13.014.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 2.5
7840
#55
11.60.2
10.010.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Third
7245
#18
12.51.0
10.211.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 2.3
9202
#59
10.20.3
9.19.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed