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Red83
903813.9
325629.2
228828.1
Blue71
58140.0
91117.8
95199.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755520401001201408371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#17
29.20.9
27.628.4
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End2.3
blue by 10.9
581
#7
40.00.9
36.937.8
Auto16.0
Teleop19.2
End4.9
Second
2288
#11
28.10.9
27.328.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 18.2
9519
#60
9.91.5
8.910.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
Third
9038
#22
13.90.9
10.811.7
Auto8.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
red by 6.0
9111
#40
7.80.9
6.47.3
Auto1.2
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed