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Red114
25457.6
490415.4
425520.0
Blue76
64925.4
766717.2
885222.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896120408010012014016011476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
57.62.5
51.654.0
Auto17.0
Teleop33.3
End7.3
red by 32.3
649
#13
25.41.2
24.225.4
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
Second
4255
#30
20.02.5
14.917.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End1.2
blue by 2.0
8852
#16
22.01.2
17.919.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Third
4904
#34
15.42.5
10.613.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 1.8
7667
#28
17.21.2
16.217.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed