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Red51
60599.1
466914.8
641822.7
Blue76
688410.6
594056.4
415914.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3785020601001201401605176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#24
22.70.8
20.020.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 33.7
56.40.3
49.049.3
Auto17.1
Teleop32.1
End7.3
Second
4669
#35
14.80.8
10.811.6
Auto8.4
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 0.1
4159
#21
14.90.3
12.512.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
6059
#54
9.10.8
8.49.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 1.6
6884
#57
10.60.3
9.69.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned